Wright’s renegade SEC football picks

Wright's Renegade SEC Picks

We were so close to a full slate last week and we are so close again this week. I hope you all had a happy Thanksgiving!

By Steve Wright

Week Results: 5-1. The only miss was LSU who – again – I don’t think I have picked correctly this entire season.

Closest Pick: Auburn 30, Tennessee 17. I went with Auburn 32, Tennessee 17. Basically if Auburn hadn’t been selfish ad had picked up a safety at some point during the game then we would have been perfect.

Season Results: 35-14

Kentucky @ (6) Florida – Kyle Trask was finally held to less than four touchdown passes in a game this season last weekend against Vanderbilt. All he did in that game to bolster his Heisman campaign was pass for three touchdowns and just shy of 400 yards. Kentucky can keep this close for a while by playing ball control and winning on special teams, but they don’t have the passing game to keep up when Trask really begins to flex. Florida 48, Kentucky 17.
Vanderbilt @ Mizzou – Ken Seals was great at QB for Vandy against Florida as he passed for 319 yards and two touchdowns. He is a keeper. Their problem here is that Mizzou is the stingiest team in the conference on third down – opponents convert just 36% of their chances – and they grind opponents into defeat as opposed to being spectacular. That should be just about enough. Mizzou 30, Vandy 21.
(22) Auburn @ (1) Alabama – Bo Nix has been playing better but this Alabama offense behind Mac Jones and Najee Harris is an absolute machine. The Crimson Tide are not over their Iron Bowl loss from last season and that will mean an ultra-focused – and mistake free –performance. Alabama 48, Auburn 17.
Mississippi State @ Ole Miss – It is Egg Bowl time and it is going to be fascinating to see a Mike Leach offense that is capable of big things going up against a team that has allowed more than 400 yards against all but one (Arkansas) team this season. The flip is that Ole Miss is actually playing with an offense like the Bulldogs are supposed to have, with QB Matt Corral passing for an insane 925 yards and 10 touchdowns in his last two games. This one could be a lot of fun. Ole Miss 41, Mississippi State 37.
LSU @ (5) Texas A&M – It might be too simple to point out that LSU has been loss-win-loss-win all season. Instead look at the fact that the things that the Tigers are good at, the Aggies are outstanding at. Their ability to convert third downs – first in the nation – and their time of possession/total defense (best in the SEC) will see them through here. Texas A&M 38, LSU 20.
(9) Georgia @ South Carolina – Georgia has found a QB in JT Daniels and that makes the Bulldogs a scary prospect going forwards. The running game needs to be better – eight yards last week isn’t remotely good enough – but Daniels will have his second big game in as many weeks against a South Carolina team that doesn’t know how to score the football this season. Georgia 45, South Carolina 17.

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