The big takeaways from Week 3 are that Mississippi State isn’t as good as I thought, the Texas A&M offense still doesn’t work (but their defense is legit, and that Auburn is pretty bad.
By Steve Wright
Week Results: 8-3
Closest Pick: Georgia 38, South Carolina 7. Actual was Georgia 48, South Carolina 7. Honestly, this was a lousy week finding the correct scores.
Worst Pick: Auburn 26, Penn State 23. Actual was Penn State 41, Auburn 12. I missed most of the closer games (Auburn, Texas A&M, LSU/MSU), but I did not see Auburn getting obliterated at home on the farm coming.
Season Results: 32-6 (84.2%). Last week was 88.9%.
Kent State @ (1) Georgia – Kent State is a team that wins by running the ball. They went for 358 yards on the ground last week – which is great – but they are about to run into a wall. Georgia has allowed exactly one touchdown through three games. Make it one through four. Georgia 49, Kent State 3.
Mizzou @ Auburn – Auburn has to keep this simple after last week’s disaster. They should be able to run the ball on Mizzou, and the away Tigers have had massive issues with penalties, especially along their offensive line. Auburn 30, Mizzou 20.
Bowling Green @ Mississippi State – The Falcons won’t be able to keep up with Mississippi State here as the Bulldogs bounce back in a big way from their LSU defeat. Will Rogers will have 350+ yards passing in a comfortable win. Mississippi State 45, Bowling Green 14.
(20) Florida @ (11) Tennessee – Florida’s passing game has scored them exactly zero touchdowns in 2022. Anthony Richardson is great with his feet – and the running game is strong – but that lack of a passing game is worrying against a Tennessee team that will sling it from the minute dot. Florida has been bending and not breaking all season (other than the Kentucky game), and they break here. Tennessee 38, Florida 21.
Tulsa @ Ole Miss – Tulsa has the best passing attack in the country, but the Rebels have the athletes in their front seven (fifth nationally in sacks per game) to slow the Golden Hurricane down. The Ole Miss rushing attack will put this one away in a fun fight. Ole Miss 45, Tulsa 28.
Northern Illinois @ Kentucky – Northern Illinois lost 38-28 to Vanderbilt last week. Kentucky is better than Vanderbilt. Kentucky 41, Northern Illinois 17.
Arkansas @ Texas A&M (In Dallas) – This is a game where the Hogs gave the Aggies fits even when they weren’t good. This is a different Arkansas team, and despite all the talent on the A&M roster, the offense just isn’t working. Arkansas 29, Texas A&M 21.
Vandy @ (2) Alabama – The ‘Bama defense has been ridiculously good in their 139-26 soring start to the season. Vandy is better than people expect – they have quarterback options and a running attack that can get it done – but their three wins have been over bad, bad teams. Alabama is not that. Alabama 49, Vanderbilt 13.
New Mexico @ LSU – LSU will finally start a game strongly as the carryover from the Mississippi State game works in their favor. LSU 55, New Mexico 14.
Charlotte @ South Carolina – Stopping quarterback Chris Reynolds – he had 401 yards and five scores in an upset win over Georgia State last weekend – is priority one. Priority two is to focus on the 35-14 win over the same Georgia State team and not overthink defeats to two of the best ten teams in the country (Georgia and Arkansas). South Carolina 38, Charlotte 17.