Wright’s Renegade SEC Football Picks

Wright's Renegade SEC Picks

Some weird things occurred in a lot of the Week 10 games, but Georgia keeps on being Georgia. Is there any chance they stumble against a red hot Tennessee offense this weekend?

By Steve Wright

Week Results: 5-2. A pretty good week really. I called Arkansas over Mississippi State in what felt like a toss-up, but went on the wrong side of another toss-up in Tennessee and Kentucky. Also missed Florida, but I was far from alone there.

Closest Pick: I was seven points total off year again this week and it was in the Mississippi State @ Arkansas game where I had the Bulldogs scoring one less touchdown than they managed.

Season Results: 68-19 (78.2%). Last week was 78.8%.

New Mexico State @ (2) Alabama – Something tells me Alabama will run for more than six yards on Saturday. Nick Saban appears to be close to his wits end in terms of figuring this squad out, with Alabama not being Alabama-like outside of a few players carrying the team. Saban is angry after the LSU game and that does not bode well for the Aggies. Alabama 58, New Mexico State 13.
Mississippi State @ (17) Auburn – This just feels like a big game after both lost last weekend with Mississippi State going down to Arkansas and Auburn being throttled by Texas A&M. Bo Nix had been great for two weeks before that and I think he gets back into that mode again here and he will outduel Will Rogers even as Mississippi State manage to control the tempo. Auburn 31, Mississippi State 21.
Samford @ Florida – Samford has enough offense to both Florida early if the Gators’ aren’t focused here after the debacle against South Carolina last Saturday. Turnovers are still a massive issue for Florida in the passing game, but they shouldn’t have to pass much here as the running game gets it done. Florida 48, Samford 20.
(1) Georgia @ Tennessee – Tennessee will become the first team all season to score more than 13 points on Georgia. The problem the Vols have is that they are being destroyed in time of possession – partly because of the explosiveness of the offense (good) – but also because of the defense being awful on third down (bad). Georgia 45, Tennessee 28.
South Carolina @ Mizzou – After doing nothing on the ground all season long, South Carolina went off against Flrodia with Kevin Harris looking like Kevin Harris and ZaQuandre White showing his talent too. This is brutal news for a Mizzou squad that is as bad on the ground defensively as anyone in the entire country. Over 150 yards on the ground from Tyler Badie won’t save Mizzou here. South Carolina 31, Mizzou 21.
(11) Texas A&M @ (15) Ole Miss – This is the defense we expected from the Aggies. Holding a rolling Auburn team to 226 yards and three points is where they were supposed to be from the outset this year. It faces a stiff test here, however, with an Ole Miss offense that wants to run tempo and which will find success. Isaiah Spiller is on a hot streak on the ground for the Aggies too and his rushing will be enough. Texas A&M 35, Ole Miss 32.
Kentucky @ Vandy – Vandy can stay in this if they limit the impact of Chris Rodriguez Jr. and keep Kentucky away from the big play. Two weeks off helps, but Kentucky is great against bad teams – and especially bad passing offenses – and Vandy doesn’t have the horses to keep up. Kentucky 35, Vanderbilt 20.
(25) Arkansas @ LSU – Arkansas loves to run the ball and will try to dominate early behind a big and talented offensive line. LSU has been all over the place with their run defense – holding ‘Bama to six yards and being run on for 330 against Kentucky – so who knows which of those extremes will show up on Saturday. Ed Orgeron has lost four of five even though the Tigers have been in most of those contests and that continues here. Arkansas 31, LSU 25.

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