Wright’s Renegade SEC Football Picks

Wright's Renegade SEC Picks

Week 10 feels like the first real slate of games in a few weeks as we are back up to seven contests.

By Steve Wright

Week Results: 2-2. Not ideal at all. Kentucky’s turnover problem game back to bite them and Auburn were simply (and unexpectedly) too good for Ole Miss.

Closest Pick: I was seven points total off with my Mizzou @ Vandy prediction. I also got Georgia’s score perfect (34) but figured Florida would do more than they did.

Season Results: 63-17 (78.8%). Last week was 80.3%.

Mizzou @ (1) Georgia – The Tigers are 37.5 point underdogs heading to Athens with a defense that lets basically everyone – including SEMO and Vandy – rush for over 200 yards. Their offense is good enough to test Georgia (assuming starting quarterback Connor Bazelak is playing) but it feels like if they aren’t massively up in the turnover margin that this will be a very, very long day. Georgia will pound for over 300 yards and win with comfort here. Georgia 55, Mizzou 21.

Liberty @ (18) Ole Miss – Hugh Freeze going back to Oxford as the coach of a Group of 5 program with an offense that can keep up with the Ole Miss attack should be a fun watch. Expect to see the Flames get upwards of 400 yards of offense, but expect to see the Rebels fight back with close to 600 of their own as Liberty tires and the big plays open up. Ole Miss 43, Liberty 31.

(12) Auburn @ (13) Texas A&M – It feels like Texas A&M hasn’t played in a month and the two weeks of rest they picked up will be huge for the way the rest of their season goes. Zach Calzada and the attack through the air isn’t working particularly well, but the ground game has come through with Isaiah Spiller looking like the back everyone expected him to be. Texas A&M will control the clock here to beat an Auburn squad that has been getting the Bo Nix we have been waiting for his entire college career with some outstanding – and gritty – performances over the last couple of weeks. Texas A&M 31, Auburn 30.

Mississippi State @ Arkansas – Will Rogers wet an SEC record for single-game completion percentage last week at 92% as the Bulldogs and their death by 1000 cuts strategy knocked off Kentucky. Arkansas will fight this tempo controlling and third down converting offensive plan with a balanced attack that has gone over 200 yards passing and rushing in each of its last three games. Arkansas will be better at holding the ball than Kentucky (four turnovers) was last week and that will be enough. Arkansas 31, Mississippi State 21.

LSU @ (3) Alabama – LSU will have to run like they did against Florida (321 yards) and not as they have against anyone else (never hitting 150 yards). If they do – and if they can hide the injuries that have torn this squad apart – then maybe they have a shot at a massive upset. They won’t. Alabama 48, LSU 28.

Tennessee @ (18) Kentucky – Kentucky lost their second game of the season last weekend against Mississippi State in a game where they couldn’t get the rushing attack going. Their two losses – the other was against Georgia – have both been when the ground game fails, something that won’t happen here against a Tennessee squad that is a blast to watch offensively but that doesn’t have much of anything working on defense. Kentucky 33, Tennessee 30.

Florida @ South Carolina – Anthony Richardson is in concussion protocol and no one seems to have any idea who will start for South Carolina this weekend. Neither of those things will matter as the Gators running game rumbles for over 275 yards and doesn’t let this one get close. Florida 41, South Carolina 17.

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