Week 4 sees us dive full length into the SEC schedule with the number of games between teams in the conference amping up. Let’s take a look at how the predictions are going.
By Steve Wright
Week Results: 9-3. LSU proved to be much too good for Central Michigan, while both Mississippi State (ridiculous punt return call) and Auburn went down in non-con games.
Closest Pick: Nothing massively close this week. The best was an eight total point miss in the game between South Carolina and Georgia.
Season Results: 33-8 (80.5%). Last week was 81.5%).
(9) Georgia @ Vanderbilt – Georgia has scored 40+ in back-to-back games and has shown the sort of explosion on offense that Vanderbilt can’t keep up with. This won’t be close. Georgia 48, Vandy 14.
LSU @ Mississippi State – I had no ability to pick LSU games last season and I am worried we are headed the same way here. Max Johnson and the LSU passing game is working while the defense leads the nation in sacks and tackles for a loss. Will Rodgers – and the Bulldogs passing game – is a quick hitting one so pressure won’t always matter, but it feels like the Tigers will get enough behind the line plays to win here. LSU 35, Mississippi State 24.
Missouri @ Boston College – Boston College has issues at quarterback – and Mizzou has shown plenty of pass rushing ability – but they are going to have issues stopping the run here. The plus side is that Tigers’ running back Tyler Badie is a beast and he averages an insane 7.2 yards per carry. Badie is fourth in the country in yards from scrimmage and he will have himself a game here. Mizzou 38, Boston College 24.
(7) Texas A&M @ (16) Arkansas (AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas) – Arkansas has already knocked off Texas this season and now they have a legit shot at Texas A&M after emerging from nowhere. The Razorbacks do what you need to win games with a rushing attack that is tearing through people and a defense that is allowing just 263 yards per game. The Aggies have injury issues at quarterback and are struggling to score, but their defense is a work of art that might be better than the one in Fayetteville. Should be fun. Arkansas 28, A&M 24.
(23) Auburn vs. Georgia State – One last tune up for Auburn after the Penn State loss before diving headfirst into the SEC schedule. They might take a little while to get going here after the Happy Valley contest but will ease away in the second half against a team that has given up 43 to Army and 59 to North Carolina this season already. Auburn 48, Georgia State 14.
Tennessee @ (11) Florida – Tennessee will need to catch Florida early after the Gators’ crazy battle against Alabama last week. It might work early – might – but the Gators’ run game will be way too much down the stretch and the Vols. No. 5 ranked run defense – which hasn’t faced much – will be put to the sword by the No. 2 ranked rushing offense in the nation. Florida 38, Tennessee 20.
Kentucky @ South Carolina – South Carolina is still rebuilding under head coach Shane Beamer, while Mark Stoops has Kentucky looking to start 2-0 in the East and pressure the big guns in the division. Wan’Dale Robinson has been a stunning transfer portal addition and as long as the Wildcats hold onto the ball – they are 127th in the country in turnover margin – they will win here. Kentucky 35, South Carolina 21.
(1) Alabama vs. Southern Miss – Alabama squeaked past Florida 31-29 in a game that showed Nick Saban’s machine isn’t quite humming yet. This should be a nice little scrimmage to get out some of those kinks before more SEC contests come into play. Alabama 49, Southern Miss 10.