SEC Basketball Preview/Prediction: Mississippi State at Florida

Florida and Mississippi State logos

Mississippi State visits Florida on Tuesday in a key SEC basketball matchup. Look inside for a preview of the game along with a prediction of the game’s final score.

By 14Powers Hoops

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Team Statistical Comparison

FG% 3PT% FT% ORB TRB AST STL BLK TO
Mississippi State 0.459 0.329 0.734 256 741 255 118 98 267
Mississippi State OPP 0.413 0.306 0.694 199 580 223 133 58 237
Florida 0.450 0.329 0.719 209 706 221 117 77 228
Florida OPP 0.404 0.304 0.719 193 633 221 109 51 249

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Statistical Leaders

Mississippi State Scoring Leaders

PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Reggie Perry Mississippi State 16.4 114 69 14
Tyson Carter Mississippi State 13.6 82 59 36
Robert Woodard II Mississippi State 11.5 84 30 21
D.J. Stewart Jr. Mississippi State 7.9 57 23 14
Iverson Molinar Mississippi State 7.6 51 31 12
Abdul Ado Mississippi State 5.5 39 27 0
KeyShawn Feazell Mississippi State 1.8 11 4 4
Prince Oduro Mississippi State 1.7 7 11 0

Mississippi State Rebounding Leaders

PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
Reggie Perry Mississippi State 63 128 191 10.1
Robert Woodard II Mississippi State 49 94 143 7.5
Abdul Ado Mississippi State 67 61 128 6.7
Tyson Carter Mississippi State 4 45 49 2.6
KeyShawn Feazell Mississippi State 10 31 41 2.4
D.J. Stewart Jr. Mississippi State 3 37 40 2.1
Nick Weatherspoon Mississippi State 5 24 29 3.2
Iverson Molinar Mississippi State 5 17 22 1.2
Prince Oduro Mississippi State 6 11 17 1.1
Quinten Post Mississippi State 2 8 10 1.7
Devin Butts Mississippi State 2 0 2 0.3
Elias King Mississippi State 0 2 2 0.3
Mitchell Storm Mississippi State 1 1 2 0.7

Florida Scoring Leaders

PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Kerry Blackshear Jr. Florida 14.5 77 104 17
Keyontae Johnson Florida 13.1 98 34 19
Andrew Nembhard Florida 11.3 78 38 20
Noah Locke Florida 10.1 66 14 46
Scottie Lewis Florida 8.1 44 49 9
Ques Glover Florida 5.3 41 11 8
Tre Mann Florida 5.1 31 17 8
Omar Payne Florida 5.1 43 11 0

Florida Rebounding Leaders

PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
Kerry Blackshear Jr. Florida 51 109 160 8.4
Keyontae Johnson Florida 30 96 126 6.6
Omar Payne Florida 43 42 85 4.5
Scottie Lewis Florida 20 57 77 4.3
Noah Locke Florida 4 51 55 2.9
Andrew Nembhard Florida 2 53 55 2.9
Tre Mann Florida 4 25 29 1.7
Dontay Bassett Florida 11 14 25 2.1
Ques Glover Florida 6 17 23 1.2
Jason Jitoboh Florida 4 4 8 0.8
Gorjok Gak Florida 1 2 3 1.5

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Stephen C. O'Connell Center
Stephen C. O’Connell Center

NCAA RPI

Mississippi State: 48

Florida: 37

Mississippi State Roster

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Nick Weatherspoon G 6′-2″ 185 JR Canton, MS
1 Reggie Perry F 6′-10″ 250 SO Thomasville, GA
2 Elias King F 6′-8″ 205 FR Suwanee, GA
3 D.J. Stewart Jr. G 6′-6″ 200 FR Grace, MS
4 Devin Butts G 6′-5″ 180 FR Macon, GA
5 Iverson Molinar G 6′-3″ 195 FR Marietta, GA
10 Tate Clayton G 6′-2″ 170 JR Tupelo, MS
12 Robert Woodard II G 6′-7″ 230 SO Columbus, MS
13 Reggie Miller G 6′-5″ 185 SR Saltillo, MS
15 Prince Oduro F 6′-8″ 250 SO Toronto, ON
20 Mitch Storm F 6′-7″ 200 SR Madison, MS
21 Justin Rumph G 6′-5″ 215 JR Birmingham, AL
22 KeyShawn Feazell F 6′-8″ 225 JR Newhebron, MS
23 Tyson Carter G 6′-4″ 175 SR Starkville, MS
24 Abdul Ado F 6′-11″ 255 JR Lagos, Nigeria
25 Isaac Stansbury G 6′-1″ 160 FR Bowling Green, KY
30 Andrew Junkin F 6′-11″ 240 FR New Hope, MS
32 Quinten Post F 7′-0″ 225 FR Amsterdam, The Netherlands
35 Tolu Smith F 6′-10″ 240 SO Bay Saint Louis, MS
45 E.J. Datcher C 6′-10″ 255 SR Harpersville, AL

Florida Roster

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Ques Glover G 5′-11″ 176 FR Knoxville, TN
1 Tre Mann G 6′-4″ 172 FR Gainesville, FL
2 Andrew Nembhard G 6′-5″ 193 SO Aurora, ON
3 Alex Klatsky G 6′-3″ 189 FR Colts Neck, NJ
4 Anthony Duruji F 6′-7″ 213 JR Germantown, MD
5 Omar Payne F 6′-10″ 223 FR Kissimmee, FL
10 Noah Locke G 6′-3″ 207 SO Baltimore, MD
11 Keyontae Johnson F 6′-5″ 231 SO Norfolk, VA
12 Gorjok Gak C 6′-11″ 244 JR Sydney, NSW
21 Dontay Bassett F 6′-9″ 236 JR Oakland, CA
22 Tyree Appleby G 6′-1″ 163 JR Jacksonville, AR
23 Scottie Lewis G 6′-5″ 185 FR Hazlet, NJ
24 Kerry Blackshear Jr. F 6′-10″ 241 SR Orlando, FL
33 Jason Jitoboh C 6′-11″ 300 FR Chattanooga, TN

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Scouting Report


Mississippi State (12-7, 3-3 SEC) fell to Oklahoma 63-62 on Saturday in Norman, OK. State trailed the entire second half and found itself done 28-15 6:37 left in opening stanza. However, the Bulldogs would narrow that lead to 38-30 by halftime. In the second half State tied the score twice and flirted with taking the lead on multiple occasions before finally taking a 58-57 lead with 4:15 to play on a D.J. Stewart Jr. layup. Oklahoma, however, outscored the Bulldogs 6-4 down the stretch to earn the 1-point victory. Robert Woodard II led the Bulldogs with 15 points. Brady Manek tallied a game leading 18 points for Oklahoma.

Forward Reggie Perry leads in Bulldogs in both scoring (16.4 ppg) and rebounding (10.1 rpg). Two other players, Tyson Carter (13.6 ppg) and Robert Woodard II (11.5 ppg) also average in double figures. Guard Nick Weatherspoon earlier in the season returned to the team after a long suspension and is averaging 12.2 points in the nine games he’s played in so far this season. Mississippi State is second in the SEC in 3-point shooting accuracy (32.9%) but the Dogs have only made 322 attempts. That’s fewer than any other SEC team except for Kentucky (287). State’s biggest strength is rebounding. They are first in the SEC in rebounding margin (+8.5). MSU is also fourth in the SEC in blocks shots (5.2 bpg).

Florida (12-7, 4-2 SEC) fell to Baylor 72-61 on Saturday in Gainesville. The Gators led for most of the first part of the first half before Baylor took the lead with 21-20 lead with 9:57 to play in the opening stanza. Baylor headed to halftime with a 40-29 lead. In the second half the Bears maintained a double digit lead for throughout the remainder of the game. The Gators pulled to within 10 with 1:59 to play but it was too little too late. Keyontae Johnson led the Gators with 20 points. Guard Macio Teague paced the Bears with 16 points. Baylor won this game from beyond the arc hitting 9 of 19 shots (47%) compared to Florida’s 4 of 17 shots (24%).

Kerry Blackshear is the Gators top scorer so far this season averaging 14.5 points per game. He’s also the Gator’s top rebounder (8.4 rpg). The second top points producer is Keyontae Johnson (13.1 ppg). Team statistics wise, Florida doesn’t shine or struggle in any particular statistical category. In most stats the Gators are in the middle of the pack. Two areas the Gators somewhat stands out in is rebounding margin (5th, +3.8) and 3-point shooting (3rd, 33.0%). Florida does struggle in the area of blocks (9th, 4.1 bpg) and assists (13th, 11.6 apg) and steals (11th, 6.2 spg).

These are two evenly matched teams. Florida should have a slight edge at home. The Gators improved offensively since SEC play started (80 ppg). They’ve also played well at home. If the Gators shoot like they did against Baylor though, the edge swings to State.

Mississippi State-Florida Prediction

Florida 73, Mississippi State 70


Tuesday‘s game tips off at 7:00 p.m. ET. TV: ESPN2.

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

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