SEC Basketball Preview/Prediction: Florida at Missouri

Missouri and Florida logo on basketball floor

Florida visits Missouri on Saturday in a key SEC basketball matchup. Look inside for a preview of the game along with a prediction of the game’s final score.

By 14Powers Hoops

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Team Statistical Comparison

FG% 3PT% FT% ORB TRB AST STL BLK TO
Florida 0.442 0.318 0.717 158 545 160 91 52 168
Florida OPP 0.393 0.296 0.692 138 475 163 77 39 188
Missouri 0.442 0.318 0.717 158 545 160 91 52 168
Missouri OPP 0.393 0.296 0.692 138 475 163 77 39 188

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Statistical Leaders

Florida Scoring Leaders

PLAYER PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Kerry Blackshear Jr. 14.6 55 83 12
Keyontae Johnson 13.4 73 30 12
Andrew Nembhard 11.4 56 29 18
Noah Locke 9.9 48 11 31
Scottie Lewis 9.2 38 36 7
Tre Mann 5.4 24 11 6
Ques Glover 5.2 31 6 5
Omar Payne 4.2 26 7 0

Florida Rebounding Leaders

PLAYER OR DR TR RPG
Kerry Blackshear Jr. 39 83 122 8.7
Keyontae Johnson 25 72 97 6.9
Scottie Lewis 17 48 65 5.0
Omar Payne 28 33 61 4.4
Noah Locke 3 42 45 3.2
Andrew Nembhard 1 38 39 2.8
Dontay Bassett 11 14 25 2.5
Tre Mann 2 20 22 1.8
Ques Glover 4 11 15 1.1
Jason Jitoboh 4 3 7 0.8
Gorjok Gak 1 2 3 1.5

Missouri Scoring Leaders

PLAYER PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Dru Smith 11.3 52 44 10
Mark Smith 11.1 49 24 34
Jeremiah Tilmon 9.0 42 23 1
Xavier Pinson 7.8 35 31 8
Javon Pickett 7.3 41 14 6
Kobe Brown 5.6 33 4 8
Torrence Watson 5.0 23 5 19
Mitchell Smith 4.3 20 8 8
Tray Jackson 2.8 10 9 2
Reed Nikko 2.2 12 5 0

Missouri Rebounding Leaders

PLAYER OR DR TR RPG
Mark Smith 6 60 66 4.7
Dru Smith 17 44 61 4.4
Javon Pickett 23 34 57 4.1
Jeremiah Tilmon 23 28 51 4.3
Mitchell Smith 10 39 49 3.8
Kobe Brown 13 28 41 2.9
Xavier Pinson 8 23 31 2.2
Reed Nikko 15 12 27 2.1
Tray Jackson 5 18 23 2.1
Torrence Watson 2 20 22 1.6
Parker Braun 2 10 12 1.3
Mario McKinney Jr. 5 6 11 1.6
Evan Yerkes 1 0 1 0.5

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Mizzou Arena
Mizzou Arena

NCAA RPI

Florida: 39

Missouri: 72

Florida Roster

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Ques Glover G 5′-11″ 176 FR Knoxville, TN
1 Tre Mann G 6′-4″ 172 FR Gainesville, FL
2 Andrew Nembhard G 6′-5″ 193 SO Aurora, ON
3 Alex Klatsky G 6′-3″ 189 FR Colts Neck, NJ
4 Anthony Duruji F 6′-7″ 213 JR Germantown, MD
5 Omar Payne F 6′-10″ 223 FR Kissimmee, FL
10 Noah Locke G 6′-3″ 207 SO Baltimore, MD
11 Keyontae Johnson F 6′-5″ 231 SO Norfolk, VA
12 Gorjok Gak C 6′-11″ 244 JR Sydney, NSW
21 Dontay Bassett F 6′-9″ 236 JR Oakland, CA
22 Tyree Appleby G 6′-1″ 163 JR Jacksonville, AR
23 Scottie Lewis G 6′-5″ 185 FR Hazlet, NJ
24 Kerry Blackshear Jr. F 6′-10″ 241 SR Orlando, FL
33 Jason Jitoboh C 6′-11″ 300 FR Chattanooga, TN

Missouri Roster

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Torrence Watson G 6′-5″ 205 SO St. Louis, MO
1 Xavier Pinson G 6′-2″ 170 SO Chicago, IL
2 Tray Jackson F 6′-8″ 215 FR Detroit, MI
4 Javon Pickett G 6′-5″ 220 SO Belleville, IL
5 Mitchell Smith F 6′-10″ 221 JR Van Buren, AR
10 Evan Yerkes G 6′-3″ 187 SO Tinley Park, IL
11 Mario McKinney Jr. G 6′-2″ 185 FR St. Louis, MO
12 Dru Smith G 6′-3″ 203 JR Evansville, IN
13 Mark Smith G 6′-5″ 220 JR Edwardsville, IL
14 Reed Nikko F 6′-10″ 240 SR Maple Grove, MN
15 Axel Okongo F 7′-0″ 240 JR Saacy-sur-Marne, France
23 Jeremiah Tilmon F 6′-10″ 260 JR East Saint Louis, IL
24 Kobe Brown F 6′-7″ 240 FR Huntsville, AL
25 Brooks Ford G 6′-0″ 187 SO St. Louis, MO
42 Parker Braun F 6′-8″ 217 FR Overland Park, KS

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Scouting Report


Florida (10-4, 2-0 SEC) toppled South Carolina 81-68 in Columbia, S.C., on Tuesday. In that game the Gators built a 3-point lead by halftime. The Gators led by just six with just under seven minutes remaining in the game. However, Florida outscored Carolina 15-8 for the remainder of the game to seal the win. The difference in this game was the Gators superior shooting, rebounding and defense. The Gators made 46.7% of shot from field goal range compared to USC’s 38.3%, 37.5% of 3-point shots to just 26.7% for the Gamecocks. Florida out-rebounded South Carolina 42-30. Florida guard Andrew Nembhard led the Gators in scoring with 21 points. Nembhard made 3 of 5 of from 3-point range and scored half of of the Gators points from 3-point range.

Kerry Blackshear is the Gators top scorer so far this season averaging 14.6 points per game. He’s also the Gator’s top rebounder (8.7 rpg). The second points top points producer is Keyontae Johnson (13.4 ppg). Team statistics wise, Florida doesn’t shine or struggle in any particular statistical category. In most stats the Gators are in the middle of the pack. Two areas the Gators somewhat stands out in is rebounding margin (5th, +5.0) and 3-point defense (5th, 29.6%). Florida does struggle in the area of blocks (12th, 3.7 bpg) and assists (13th, 11.4 apg) and steals (11th, 6.5 spg).

Missouri (8-6, 0-2 SEC) fell to 0-2 in the SEC on Tuesday with a 69-59 home loss to Tennessee. This game was tied at 15 halfway through the first half. However, the Vols would build a modest 32-28 lead by the half. With 13:45 remaining in the second half the Tigers tied the score at 40 on a jumper by forward Tray Jackson, who would go on to lead the Tigers in scoring with 11. The game would be tied four more times before the Vols pulled away. Trailing 64-56 with 2:26 remaining, the Tigers resorted to fouling. The Vols made 5 of 5 free throws in the final moments to seal the win. The Tigers were clearly out-shot by the Vols. From field goal range Mizzou made four less shots than the Vols despite having 11 more attempts. Mizzou wasn’t bad from 3-pont range (35.2%) but Tennessee lit it up making 45.8% from beyond the arc.

Guard Dru Smith leads the Tigers in scoring (11.3 ppg). He also is No. 3 in the SEC in steals with 29 and over 86% of his free throws. Another Smith, guard Mark Smith, is the second leading scorer (11.1 ppg). Mark also is the rebounding leader of the team (4.7 rpg). Yes, there is a third Smith on the team, forward Mitchell Smith. Missouri is among the worst teams in the SEC in scoring offense averaging just 66.7 points per contest. However, the Tigers are the best team in the league in scoring defense, allowing just 57.7 points a game. Mizzou is No. 1 in the SEC in field goal defense (37.6%) and No. 2 in 3-point defense (27.6%).

Florida has looked really solid in its first two SEC contests. They should be able to beat Mizzou but you never know about that Tiger defense.

Florida-Missouri Prediction

Florida 69, Missouri 62


Saturday‘s game tips off at 8:30 p.m. ET. (7:30 p.m. CT) TV: SEC Network.

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

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