SEC Basketball Preview/Prediction: Alabama at Mississippi State

Mississippi State-Alabama

Alabama visits Mississippi State on Tuesday in a key SEC basketball matchup. Look inside for a preview of the game along with a prediction of the game’s final score.

By 14Powers Hoops

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Team Statistical Analysis

FG% 3PT% FT% ORB TRB AST STL BLK TO
Alabama 0.443 0.355 0.696 308 1079 398 171 125 409
Alabama OPP 0.416 0.303 0.739 338 1080 314 231 107 380
Mississippi State 0.467 0.340 0.751 332 1013 366 151 133 387
Mississippi State OPP 0.430 0.319 0.736 260 808 331 194 75 319

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Statistical Leaders

Alabama Points Leaders

PLAYER TEAM GP PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
PLAYER TEAM GP PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Kira Lewis Jr. Alabama 27 17.4 172.0 81 46
John Petty Jr. Alabama 27 15.3 136.0 57 83
Jaden Shackelford Alabama 27 14.8 124.0 78 74
Alex Reese Alabama 27 9.5 90.0 29 48
Herbert Jones Alabama 23 8.7 71.0 57 1
James Bolden Alabama 24 7.7 56.0 41 32
Javian Davis Alabama 27 6.0 56.0 48 1
Galin Smith Alabama 27 3.1 33.0 17 0
Jaylen Forbes Alabama 26 3.0 24.0 18 12

Alabama Top Rebounders

PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG  
PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
John Petty Jr. Alabama 38 147 185 6.9
Herbert Jones Alabama 45 104 149 6.5
Kira Lewis Jr. Alabama 24 111 135 5.0
Alex Reese Alabama 28 97 125 4.6
Jaden Shackelford Alabama 28 86 114 4.2
Javian Davis Alabama 36 64 100 3.7
Galin Smith Alabama 31 35 66 2.4
Jaylen Forbes Alabama 18 42 60 2.3
James Bolden Alabama 21 31 52 2.2
Tyler Barnes Alabama 0 4 4 0.6
Adam Cottrell Alabama 0 1 1 0.3




Mississippi State Points Leaders

PLAYER TEAM GP PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
PLAYER TEAM GP PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Reggie Perry Mississippi State 27 17.3 160.0 125 21
Tyson Carter Mississippi State 27 13.5 117.0 82 48
Robert Woodard II Mississippi State 27 11.6 120.0 44 29
D.J. Stewart Jr. Mississippi State 27 8.9 88.0 40 25
Iverson Molinar Mississippi State 27 6.1 59.0 35 12
Abdul Ado Mississippi State 27 5.7 59.0 35 0

Mississippi State Top Rebounders

PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG  
PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
Reggie Perry Mississippi State 81 183 264 9.8
Robert Woodard II Mississippi State 61 123 184 6.8
Abdul Ado Mississippi State 96 87 183 6.8
Tyson Carter Mississippi State 4 65 69 2.6
D.J. Stewart Jr. Mississippi State 8 57 65 2.4
Nick Weatherspoon Mississippi State 7 55 62 3.6
KeyShawn Feazell Mississippi State 10 32 42 2.1
Iverson Molinar Mississippi State 5 22 27 1.0
Prince Oduro Mississippi State 6 12 18 0.9
Quinten Post Mississippi State 2 8 10 1.4
Devin Butts Mississippi State 2 0 2 0.3
Elias King Mississippi State 0 2 2 0.3
Mitchell Storm Mississippi State 1 1 2 0.7

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Humphrey Coliseum
Humphrey Coliseum

NCAA NET

Alabama: 40

Mississippi State: 56




Alabama Players

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Javian Davis F 6′-9″ 242 FR Canton, MS
1 Herbert Jones F 6′-7″ 205 JR Greensboro, AL
2 Kira Lewis Jr. G 6′-3″ 165 SO Meridianville, AL
3 Alex Reese F 6′-9″ 245 JR Pelham, AL
4 Juwan Gary F 6′-5″ 215 FR Columbia, SC
5 Jaden Shackelford G 6′-3″ 195 FR Hesperia, CA
11 James Bolden G 6′-0″ 160 SR Covington, KY
12 Jaylen Forbes G 6′-4″ 186 FR Florence, MS
13 Jahvon Quinerly G 6′-1″ 175 SO Hackensack, NJ
15 Tyler Barnes F 6′-8″ 201 JR Louisville, KY
21 Britton Johnson G 6′-4″ 183 SO Mountain Brook, AL
23 John Petty Jr. G 6′-5″ 184 JR Huntsville, AL
25 Adam Cottrell G 6′-3″ 185 FR Flowery Branch, GA
30 Galin Smith F 6′-9″ 240 JR Clinton, MS
33 James Rojas F 6′-8″ 215 JR Jamestown, NY
34 Sam Okauru G 6′-5″ 200 FR Raleigh, NC
35 Raymond Hawkins F 6′-9″ 240 FR Oakland, CA

Mississippi State Players

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Nick Weatherspoon G 6′-2″ 185 JR Canton, MS
1 Reggie Perry F 6′-10″ 250 SO Thomasville, GA
2 Elias King F 6′-8″ 205 FR Suwanee, GA
3 D.J. Stewart Jr. G 6′-6″ 200 FR Grace, MS
4 Devin Butts G 6′-5″ 180 FR Macon, GA
5 Iverson Molinar G 6′-3″ 195 FR Marietta, GA
10 Tate Clayton G 6′-2″ 170 JR Tupelo, MS
12 Robert Woodard II G 6′-7″ 230 SO Columbus, MS
13 Reggie Miller G 6′-5″ 185 SR Saltillo, MS
15 Prince Oduro F 6′-8″ 250 SO Toronto, ON
20 Mitch Storm F 6′-7″ 200 SR Madison, MS
21 Justin Rumph G 6′-5″ 215 JR Birmingham, AL
22 KeyShawn Feazell F 6′-8″ 225 JR Newhebron, MS
23 Tyson Carter G 6′-4″ 175 SR Starkville, MS
24 Abdul Ado F 6′-11″ 255 JR Lagos, Nigeria
25 Isaac Stansbury G 6′-1″ 160 FR Bowling Green, KY
30 Andrew Junkin F 6′-11″ 240 FR New Hope, MS
32 Quinten Post F 7′-0″ 225 FR Amsterdam, The Netherlands
35 Tolu Smith F 6′-10″ 240 SO Bay Saint Louis, MS
45 E.J. Datcher C 6′-10″ 255 SR Harpersville, AL

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Team/Game Analysis

Alabama (15-12, 7-7 SEC) defeated Ole Miss 103-78 on Saturday in Oxford. This game was a track race. Bama led 45-31 at the half. In the second half the two teams combined for over 100 points. The Rebels weren’t able to catch up to Alabama. The Tide made an impressive 13-of-30 3-point shots to seal the win. John Petty Jr. make 4 of 6 treys and Jaden Shackelford hit on 3 of 5 from beyond the arc. Two other Bama players had at least two made 3-pointers. Ole Miss’ to scorer was Breein Tyree with 28 points.

Alabama as a team relies on simply out-running and out-scoring opponents. They do this because they have very little inside presence. There is little need for defense, the focus is offense! offense! Who cares that the Tide is dead last in the SEC in scoring offense, allowing 4 1/2 more points per game than one SEC win Vanderbilt? Well, they probably do care but it’s not the priority.

Alabama has taken 810 three points shots this season. No other SEC team has yet to eclipsed the 700 mark in attempted threes. Kira Lewis is the top points producer for the Crimson Tide (17.4 ppg). John Petty Jr. (15.3 ppg) and Jaden Shackleford (14.8 ppg) are the other two leading scores for the Tide. Petty Jr. is the biggest threat from 3-point range with 83 made threes so far. He’s hitting on an incredible 44.6%. Shackelford has 74 made threes. Three other players have at least 30 made threes.

Mississippi State (17-10, 8-6 SEC) was dominated by Texas A&M on Saturday in College Station. The Bulldog’s two leading scorers were Tyson Carter (19) and Robert Woodard II (18) points. The Aggies won this game simply because they managed to get a few more baskets than State. A&M ended up with two more field goals, one more 3-point shot made. Seven more made free throws also helped give the Aggies a little cushion.

In 6-foot-10, 250 pound Reggie Perry the Bulldogs have a dominate inside presence. Perry is the team’s top scorer (17.4 ppg) and rebounder (9.8 rpg). Carter (13.5 ppg) and Woodard II (11.6 ppg) are the Bulldog’s other two leading scorers. State is the third best 3-point shooting team in the SEC, hitting on 33.6% of shots. However, the Bulldogs are 13th in the league in 3-point attempts, behind only Kentucky. Having a monster like Perry in the middle and an old school head coach like Ben Howland is probably why State shoots so few threes.

This is another game that is difficult to predict. These are two very different but formidable SEC clubs. You’ve got a middle of the road team both offensively and defensively (MSU) taking on the best offensive team and worst defensive team (Bama). I’m going with the home team here but if Bama’s shots are falling mostly on target they will probably win.




Alabama-Mississippi State Prediction

Mississippi State 80, Alabama 78


Tuesday‘s game tips off at 9:00 p.m. ET (8 p.m. CT). TV: SEC Network.

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

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