SEC Basketball Preview/Prediction: Alabama at LSU

LSU-Alabama

Alabama visits LSU on Wednesday in a key SEC basketball matchup. Look inside for a preview of the game along with a prediction of the game’s final score.

By 14Powers Hoops

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Team Statistical Comparison

FG% 3PT% FT% ORB TRB AST STL BLK TO
Alabama 0.442 0.358 0.716 210 788 265 122 90 302
Alabama OPP 0.400 0.304 0.733 231 744 222 159 79 269
LSU 0.479 0.312 0.766 237 758 260 125 83 263
LSU OPP 0.410 0.340 0.710 208 612 236 124 53 250

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Statistical Leaders

Alabama Scoring Leaders

PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Kira Lewis Jr. Alabama 16.8 116 61 27
John Petty Jr. Alabama 16.4 100 46 65
Jaden Shackelford Alabama 12.3 69 56 39
Herbert Jones Alabama 10.1 63 54 1
Alex Reese Alabama 9.3 60 24 33
James Bolden Alabama 8.4 43 32 25
Javian Davis Alabama 5.9 38 36 0
Galin Smith Alabama 2.7 21 10 0
Jaylen Forbes Alabama 2.3 12 11 6

Alabama Rebounding Leaders

PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
John Petty Jr. Alabama 27 108 135 7.1
Herbert Jones Alabama 33 79 112 6.2
Kira Lewis Jr. Alabama 20 89 109 5.7
Alex Reese Alabama 18 71 89 4.7
Jaden Shackelford Alabama 16 64 80 4.2
Javian Davis Alabama 29 49 78 4.1
Galin Smith Alabama 20 25 45 2.4
Jaylen Forbes Alabama 11 28 39 2.2
James Bolden Alabama 12 20 32 1.9
Tyler Barnes Alabama 0 4 4 0.8
Adam Cottrell Alabama 0 1 1 0.3

LSU Scoring Leaders

PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
PLAYER TEAM PPG FGM FTM 3PTM
Skylar Mays LSU 15.7 102 68 27
Emmitt Williams LSU 13.5 94 64 4
Trendon Watford LSU 13.2 93 55 10
Javonte Smart LSU 11.7 80 36 26
Darius Days LSU 11.6 82 34 23
Charles Manning Jr. LSU 8.0 53 13 9
Aundre Hyatt LSU 2.1 14 2 10

LSU Rebounding Leaders

PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
PLAYER TEAM OR DR TR RPG
Darius Days LSU 55 94 149 7.8
Trendon Watford LSU 41 88 129 6.8
Emmitt Williams LSU 52 74 126 6.6
Skylar Mays LSU 12 80 92 4.8
Javonte Smart LSU 13 56 69 3.6
Charles Manning Jr. LSU 9 40 49 3.1
Aundre Hyatt LSU 7 32 39 2.1
Marlon Taylor LSU 14 20 34 3.8
Courtese Cooper LSU 4 9 13 1.9
James Bishop LSU 1 3 4 0.3
Marshall Graves LSU 0 4 4 0.4

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Pete Maravich Assembly Center
Pete Maravich Assembly Center

NCAA RPI

Alabama: 41

LSU: 25

Alabama Roster

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Javian Davis F 6′-9″ 242 FR Canton, MS
1 Herbert Jones F 6′-7″ 205 JR Greensboro, AL
2 Kira Lewis Jr. G 6′-3″ 165 SO Meridianville, AL
3 Alex Reese F 6′-9″ 245 JR Pelham, AL
4 Juwan Gary F 6′-5″ 215 FR Columbia, SC
5 Jaden Shackelford G 6′-3″ 195 FR Hesperia, CA
11 James Bolden G 6′-0″ 160 SR Covington, KY
12 Jaylen Forbes G 6′-4″ 186 FR Florence, MS
13 Jahvon Quinerly G 6′-1″ 175 SO Hackensack, NJ
15 Tyler Barnes F 6′-8″ 201 JR Louisville, KY
21 Britton Johnson G 6′-4″ 183 SO Mountain Brook, AL
23 John Petty Jr. G 6′-5″ 184 JR Huntsville, AL
25 Adam Cottrell G 6′-3″ 185 FR Flowery Branch, GA
30 Galin Smith F 6′-9″ 240 JR Clinton, MS
33 James Rojas F 6′-8″ 215 JR Jamestown, NY
34 Sam Okauru G 6′-5″ 200 FR Raleigh, NC
35 Raymond Hawkins F 6′-9″ 240 FR Oakland, CA

LSU Roster

No. Name Pos. HT WT Class City-State
0 Darius Days F 6′-6″ 240 SO Raleigh, FL
1 Javonte Smart G 6′-4″ 205 SO Baton Rouge, LA
2 Trendon Watford F 6′-9″ 235 FR Birmingham, AL
3 Parker Edwards G 6′-3″ 190 SO Mandeville, LA
4 Skylar Mays G 6′-4″ 205 SR Baton Rouge, LA
5 Emmitt Williams F 6′-6″ 230 SO Fort Myers, FL
10 James Bishop G 6′-2″ 190 FR Baltimore, MD
11 Charles Manning Jr. G 6′-5″ 200 JR Riverhead, NY
12 Marshall Graves G 6′-4″ 195 SR Ponchatoula, LA
14 Marlon Taylor G 6′-5″ 210 SR Mount Vernon, NY
15 Aundre Hyatt F 6′-4″ 225 FR Bronx, NY
20 Caleb Starks G 6′-3″ 205 JR Lafayette, LA
21 Courtese Cooper F 6′-9″ 220 SO Elgin, IL
24 Deshawn Thomas C 6′-9″ 250 JR Dentsville, SC

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

Scouting Report


LSU (15-4, 6-0 SEC) defeated Texas 69-67 on Saturday in Austin. In that game the Longhorns led for the opening 3 or 4 minutes but LSU would take control and lead for the rest of the half taking a 42-32 lead into halftime. In the second half the Tigers built their biggest lead of the game at 16 points with 15:57 left to play in the half. The Longhorns then began to chip away at the Tiger lead eventually taking a 58-56 lead with 4:55 remaining in the game. However, as we’ve seen LSU do in several close games this season, the Tigers got it done in crunchtime. LSU outscored Texas 13-9 over the remainder of the game to notch another victory. Trendon Watford led the Tigers in scoring with 22 points. Watford also made two critical free throws in the final minute of the game to seal the win. Andrew Jones of Texas led all scorers in the game with 20. Jones made 4 of 7 threes during the game. Two of those came in the second half to help the Horns pull closer to LSU.

LSU averages 79.6 points per game, second in the SEC. The Tigers are allowing opponents 69.6 points per contest, 11th in the league. LSU as a team shoots 48% from the field, 31.2% from 3-point range, and 76.6% from the line. Mays leads the Tigers in scoring averaging 15.7 points per game. Darius Days paces the Tigers in rebounding averaging almost eight boards a game.

Alabama (12-7, 4-2 SEC) defeated Kansas State 77-74 on Saturday in Tuscaloosa. The score stayed fairly close in the first half with neither team leading by more than four points. Kansas State held a 37-36 edge at the half. The Crimson Tide built a 6-point lead with 17:35 left in the game. That lead grew to 16 at 59-43 with 12:13 to play but the Wildcats wouldn’t go down without a fight. Kansas State pulled to within five of the Crimson Tide with 22 seconds remaining. KSU’s Mike McGuirl then hit a 3-point shot with 18 seconds to narrow the Bama lead to 74-72. However, Alabama’s Herbert Jones hit three key free throws in the final seconds to seal the win.

Kira Lewis Jr. leads the Tide in scoring averaging 16.8 points per game. Petty, Jr. is not far behind Lewis at 16.4 points a contest. Petty leads the Tide in rebounding pulling down over 7 a game.

As a team, Alabama is No. 1 in the conference in scoring offense (82.8 ppg) and last in the conference in scoring defense (76.6 ppg). The Crimson Tide is first in the SEC basketball in 3-point shooting making of 35.8% of shots. They make an average of nearly 11 threes a game. Bama ranks fifth in the SEC in assists (13.9 apg). The Tide is 7th in the league in field goal defense (40.0%) and 8th in steals (6.4 spg).

This one is hard to pick but we go with Bama here because they should be able to simply outscore LSU at home. LSU’s scoring defense is not great and teams generally shoot better at home. LSU is also next to last in the SEC in 3-point shooting defense.

Alabama-LSU Prediction

Alabama 86, LSU 80


Wednesday‘s game tips off at 7:00 p.m. ET (6 p.m. CT). TV: ESPN2.

Stats | RPI | Players | Scouting Report | Prediction | Time/TV

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