SEC Baseball Series Preview/Prediction: Mississippi State at Ole Miss

Mississippi State-Ole Miss baseball series preview

Mississippi State travels to Ole Miss for a 3-game, Thursday-Saturday SEC baseball series. 14Powers.com SEC Baseball previews this series and predicts the series winner.

By 14Powers SEC Baseball Staff

Brad Cumbest of Mississippi State
Brad Cumbest of Mississippi State
Swayze Field (8,500)
Swayze Field (8,500)
Calvin Harris of Ole Miss
Calvin Harris of Ole Miss

Series Schedule April 21-23

  Day Start Time (ET) TV Tickets
Game 1 Thursday 7:00 PM SEC Network Tickets
Game 2 Friday 7:30 PM SEC Network+ Tickets
Game 3 Saturday 4:30 PM ESPN2 Tickets

Team Statistical Comparisons

Hitting

  BA OB% R H 2B 3B HR SF BB Bunts SB
Mississippi State 0.273 0.376 268 347 58 2 65 17 176 5 30
Ole Miss 0.283 0.380 288 324 67 7 59 22 165 2 26

Pitching & Fielding

  ERA K/9 OBA HA/9 HB SWR WHIP HR BB/9 DP F%
Mississippi State 5.04 11.2 0.245 8.38 31 2.52 1.42 41 4.44 20 0.982
Ole Miss 4.73 10.9 0.248 8.63 29 2.71 1.41 34 4.03 14 0.966

Statistical Leaders

Mississippi State Batting Leaders

Player Team AVG OBP H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SB
Brad Cumbest Mississippi State 0.321 0.357 43 8 0 10 25 6 3
Kamren James Mississippi State 0.311 0.418 42 4 0 5 20 23 9
RJ Yeager Mississippi State 0.299 0.393 35 6 0 10 29 13 2
Logan Tanner Mississippi State 0.296 0.393 40 7 0 6 33 21 0
Luke Hancock Mississippi State 0.281 0.423 39 8 0 6 22 27 2
Hunter Hines Mississippi State 0.271 0.384 36 7 1 11 38 21 0
Kellum Clark Mississippi State 0.244 0.359 29 7 0 10 29 16 1

Mississippi State Pitching Leaders

Player Team W L ERA APP GS SV IP H R ER BB SO OBA
Cade Smith Mississippi State 4 2 3.42 9 9 0 50 40 20 19 23 47 0.215
Brandon Smith Mississippi State 2 2 4.14 14 3 0 37 40 17 17 4 33 0.272
Preston Johnson Mississippi State 3 2 4.21 9 8 0 51 38 26 24 24 79 0.202

Ole Miss Batting Leaders

Player Team AVG OBP H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SB
Tim Elko Ole Miss 0.328 0.432 41 3 0 15 47 22 2
Kemp Alderman Ole Miss 0.302 0.391 29 8 0 5 17 12 1
Justin Bench Ole Miss 0.295 0.388 38 9 0 1 26 12 4
Jacob Gonzalez Ole Miss 0.287 0.436 35 8 2 11 31 30 3
TJ McCants Ole Miss 0.278 0.365 27 3 1 5 21 14 7
Reagan Burford Ole Miss 0.276 0.339 27 8 0 3 19 11 2
Peyton Chatagnier Ole Miss 0.230 0.286 28 4 2 5 26 8 5

Ole Miss Pitching Leaders

Player Team W L ERA APP GS SV IP H R ER BB SO OBA
Derek Diamond Ole Miss 3 3 6.03 10 8 0 40 39 30 27 9 39 0.241

Massey College Baseball Ranking Composite

Mississippi State:

59

Ole Miss:

48

Mississippi State Roster

NO. Name Pos. HT WT Class City ST
24 Slate Alford INF 6′-3″ 220 Fr. Madison AL
48 Brooks Auger RHP 6′-5″ 205 So. Marion LA
26 Gray Bane C 6′-0″ 195 Fr. Olive Branch MS
38 Bryce Chance OF 5′-10″ 180 Fr. Ridgeland MS
16 Cole Cheatham LHP 6′-3″ 185 Fr. Ardmore AL
11 Kellum Clark INF 6′-4″ 205 So. Brandon MS
14 Matt Corder INF/OF 6′-1″ 180 Jr. Madison MS
33 Brad Cumbest OF 6′-6″ 235 Sr. Hurley MS
3 Jess Davis OF 6′-2″ 200 Gr. Kearney MO
5 Aaron Downs INF/OF 6′-0″ 210 Fr. Pella IA
43 Lane Forsythe INF 5′-11″ 175 So. Humboldt TN
27 Jackson Fristoe RHP 6′-4″ 210 So. Paducah KY
20 Luke Hancock INF/C 5′-11″ 195 Jr. Houston MS
10 Revy Higgins III OF 6′-4″ 210 Fr. Oxford AL
44 Hunter Hines INF/OF 6′-3″ 210 Fr. Madison MS
2 KC Hunt RHP 6′-3″ 200 Jr. Wycoff NJ
6 Kamren James INF 6′-2″ 205 Jr. Southaven MS
35 Preston Johnson RHP 6′-4″ 250 Jr. Crystal Springs MS
9 Pico Kohn LHP 6′-4″ 200 Fr. Verbena AL
31 Tanner Leggett INF 5′-10″ 165 Sr. Raymond MS
8 Drew McGowan OF 6′-1″ 185 Jr. Hopkinsville KY
12 Davis Meche INF 5′-11″ 175 So. Lake Charles LA
28 Tayler Montiel LHP 6′-2″ 205 Fr. Brentwood TN
30 Von Seibert INF/OF 6′-4″ 245 Jr. Daphne AL
17 Stone Simmons RHP 6′-4″ 235 Jr. Houston TX
23 Landon Sims RHP 6′-2″ 227 Jr. Cumming GA
36 Brayland Skinner OF 5′-11″ 185 Sr. Lake Comorant MS
7 Brandon Smith RHP 6′-3″ 220 Sr. Richland MS
15 Cade Smith RHP 6′-1″ 190 So. Southaven MS
32 Parker Stinnett RHP 6′-2″ 190 Jr. Oxford MS
47 Drew Talley RHP 6′-3″ 220 Sr. Huntsville AL
19 Logan Tanner C 6′-0″ 215 Jr. Lucedale MS
39 Mikey Tepper RHP 6′-2″ 200 So. Fort Mill SC
45 Cam Tullar LHP 6′-2″ 215 Sr. Brighton MI
18 Jack Walker RHP 5′-11″ 210 Fr. Lake Charles LA
29 Andrew Walling LHP 6′-2″ 220 Sr. Castle Rock WA
40 Bradley Wilson RHP 6′-3″ 230 Fr. Irwinton GA
4 RJ Yeager INF 6′-3″ 200 Gr. Lynn Haven FL

Ole Miss Roster

NO. Name Pos. HT WT Class City ST
12 Kemp Alderman UT/RHP 6′-3″ 265 So. Decatur MS
43 Cole Baker RHP 6′-2″ 195 Jr. Hoover AL
8 Justin Bench IF/OF 6′-0″ 185 Sr. Redington Beach FL
6 Reagan Burford IF 6′-0″ 180 So. Germantown TN
55 Wes Burton RHP 6′-8″ 235 Jr. Santa Monica CA
1 Peyton Chatagnier IF/OF 5′-10″ 175 Jr. Cypress TX
22 Max Cioffi RHP 6′-4″ 220 Sr. Chicago IL
44 Dylan DeLucia RHP 6′-1″ 205 Jr. Port Orange FL
2 Derek Diamond RHP 6′-2″ 200 Jr. Ramano CA
39 Jack Dougherty RHP 6′-4″ 215 So. Collierville TN
13 Hayden Dunhurst C 5′-11″ 220 Jr. Carriere MS
25 Tim Elko IF/OF 6′-4″ 240 Sr. Lutz FL
26 Hunter Elliott LHP 6′-3″ 205 Fr. Tupelo MS
31 Luke Ellis LHP 6′-1″ 175 Fr. Somerville TN
27 John Gaddis LHP 6′-0″ 190 Sr. Corpus Christi TX
7 Jacob Gonzalez IF 6′-2″ 200 So. Glendora CA
35 Kevin Graham IF/OF 6′-1″ 195 Sr. O’fallon MO
20 Calvin Harris C/INF 6′-0″ 205 So. Peosta IA
37 Brandon Johnson RHP 6′-0″ 195 Sr.* Cottondale AL
46 Brayden Jones RHP 6′-0″ 185 Fr. Madison MS
24 Jackson Kimbrell LHP 6′-1″ 195 Jr. Birmingham AL
17 John Kramer OF 6′-1″ 215 Fr. Wildwood MO
9 Hayden Leatherwood OF 6′-1″ 200 Sr. Collierville TN
4 Knox Loposer C 5′-10″ 195 Sr.* Madison MS
34 Riley Maddox RHP 6′-1″ 185 Fr. Pearl MS
32 Noah Magee RHP 6′-0″ 220 Jr. Mount Olive MS
23 Josh Mallitz RHP 6′-3″ 195 So. Tampa FL
54 Tywone Malone IF 6′-4″ 315 Fr. Jamesburg NJ
16 TJ McCants IF 6′-3″ 190 So. Cantonment FL
21 Drew McDaniel RHP 6′-2″ 185 Jr. Lafayette LA
50 Blake McGehee RHP 6′-0″ 170 Fr. Tioga LA
18 Mitch Murrell RHP 6′-4″ 210 Jr. Ocean Springs MS
45 Mason Nichols RHP 6′-5″ 205 Fr. Jackson MS
19 Matt Parenteau RHP 6′-6″ 220 Jr. Carmel IN
3 Hudson Sapp OF 5′-10″ 190 R-Fr. Dawsonville GA
38 Logan Savell RHP 6′-4″ 185 R-Jr. Madison MS
14 Tim Simay IF 6′-0″ 160 Fr. Hoschton GA
28 Banks Tolley OF 6′-0″ 185 Jr. Madison MS
33 Ben Van Cleve IF 6′-3″ 265 Sr. Indianola MS
56 Jack Washburn RHP 6′-2″ 211 Jr. Webster WI
40 Garrett Wood IF 5′-11″ 175 Sr.* Claremore OK

Mississippi State Schedule/Results

DATE TIME GUEST
RUNS
HOME
RUNS
TV/NOTES
18-Feb TBA Long Beach St 3 Mississippi St 0 SEC Network+
19-Feb Long Beach St 13 Mississippi St 3 SEC Network+
20-Feb Long Beach St 4 Mississippi St 12 SEC Network+
22-Feb AR-Pine Bluff 1 Mississippi St 17 SEC Network+
25-Feb N Kentucky 7 Mississippi St 6 SEC Network+
26-Feb N Kentucky 1 Mississippi St 10 SEC Network+
27-Feb N Kentucky 2 Mississippi St 7 SEC Network+
1-Mar Grambling 1 Mississippi St 2 SEC Network+
2-Mar TBA Mississippi St 1 Southern Miss 7
4-Mar TBA Mississippi St 19 Tulane 2
5-Mar Mississippi St 10 Tulane 11
6-Mar 2:00 PM ET Mississippi St 4 Tulane 5
8-Mar Texas Tech 5 Mississippi St 11 SEC Network+
9-Mar Texas Tech 7 Mississippi St 2 SEC Network+
11-Mar Princeton 2 Mississippi St 11 SEC Network+
12-Mar Princeton Mississippi St SEC Network+
13-Mar TBA Princeton 1 Mississippi St 9 SEC Network+
14-Mar TBA Binghamton 5 Mississippi St 13 SEC Network+
18-Mar 7:00 PM ET Mississippi St 0 Georgia 11 SEC Network
19-Mar 2:00 PM ET Mississippi St 11 Georgia 12 SEC Network+
20-Mar 12:00 PM ET Mississippi St 20 Georgia 3 SEC Network
23-Mar TBA Southern 5 Mississippi St 14 SEC Network+
25-Mar TBA Alabama 6 Mississippi St 7 SEC Network+
26-Mar TBA Alabama 7 Mississippi St 8 SEC Network+
27-Mar 3:00 PM ET Alabama 6 Mississippi St 2 SEC Network
29-Mar TBA Mississippi St 10 Memphis 4
1-Apr 7:00 PM ET Mississippi St 1 Arkansas 8 SEC Network
2-Apr 7:30 PM ET Mississippi St 5 Arkansas 12 SEC Network+
3-Apr 3:00 PM ET Mississippi St 5 Arkansas 3 SEC Network+
5-Apr 7:00 PM ET UT Martin 2 Mississippi St 13 SEC Network+
8-Apr 8:00 PM ET LSU 5 Mississippi St 2 SEC Network
9-Apr 3:00 PM ET LSU 4 Mississippi St 3 SEC Network+
10-Apr 2:00 PM ET LSU 13 Mississippi St 3 SEC Network+
12-Apr 7:00 PM ET UAB 5 Mississippi St 6 SEC Network+
14-Apr 8:00 PM ET Auburn 6 Mississippi St 7 SEC Network
15-Apr 7:00 PM ET Auburn 5 Mississippi St 9 SEC Network+
16-Apr 2:00 PM ET Auburn 3 Mississippi St 2 SEC Network+
19-Apr 7:00 PM ET Jackson State Mississippi St SEC Network+
21-Apr 7:00 PM ET Mississippi St Ole Miss SEC Network
22-Apr 7:30 PM ET Mississippi St Ole Miss SEC Network+
23-Apr 4:30 PM ET Mississippi St Ole Miss ESPN2
26-Apr 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss Mississippi St SEC Network+
29-Apr 7:00 PM ET Mississippi St Missouri SEC Network+
30-Apr 3:00 PM ET Mississippi St Missouri SEC Network+
1-May 3:00 PM ET Mississippi St Missouri SEC Network
6-May 8:00 PM ET Florida Mississippi St SEC Network
7-May 7:30 PM ET Florida Mississippi St ESPNU
8-May 1:00 PM ET Florida Mississippi St SEC Network+
10-May TBA Mississippi St Samford
13-May 7:30 PM ET Mississippi St Texas A&M SEC Network+
14-May 3:00 PM ET Mississippi St Texas A&M SEC Network+
15-May 1:00 PM ET Mississippi St Texas A&M SEC Network
17-May TBA North Alabama Mississippi St SEC Network+
19-May TBA Tennessee Mississippi St SEC Network+
20-May TBA Tennessee Mississippi St SEC Network+
21-May TBA Tennessee Mississippi St SEC Network+

Ole Miss Schedule/Results

DATE TIME GUEST
RUNS
HOME
RUNS
TV/NOTES
18-Feb 5:00 PM ET Charleston So 3 Ole Miss 9 SEC Network+
19-Feb 2:30 PM ET Charleston So 1 Ole Miss 11 SEC Network+
20-Feb 2:30 PM ET Charleston So 2 Ole Miss 12 SEC Network+
22-Feb 5:00 PM ET Arkansas State PPD Ole Miss PPD SEC Network+
25-Feb 5:00 PM ET VCU 4 Ole Miss 10 SEC Network+
26-Feb 2:30 PM ET VCU Ole Miss SEC Network+
27-Feb 1:30 PM ET VCU 3 Ole Miss 14 SEC Network+
1-Mar 7:30 PM ET UL Monroe 2 Ole Miss 10 SEC Network+
2-Mar 5:00 PM ET UL Monroe 1 Ole Miss 11 SEC Network+
4-Mar 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss 8 UCF 7
5-Mar 5:00 PM ET Ole Miss 0 UCF 1 SEC Network+
6-Mar 2:00 PM ET Ole Miss 9 UCF 1
8-Mar 7:30 PM ET Memphis PPD Ole Miss PPD SEC Network+
11-Mar 7:30 PM ET Oral Roberts 2 Ole Miss 16 SEC Network+
12-Mar 2:30 PM ET Oral Roberts PPD Ole Miss PPD SEC Network+
13-Mar 2:30 PM ET Oral Roberts 8 Ole Miss 4 SEC Network+
15-Mar 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss 1 SE Louisiana 5
17-Mar 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss 13 Auburn 6 SEC Network
18-Mar 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss 5 Auburn 19 SEC Network+
19-Mar 3:00 PM ET Ole Miss 15 Auburn 2 SEC Network+
22-Mar 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss 11 Memphis 8
25-Mar 7:30 PM ET Tennessee 12 Ole Miss 1 SEC Network+
26-Mar 8:00 PM ET Tennessee 10 Ole Miss 3 SEC Network
27-Mar 2:30 PM ET Tennessee 4 Ole Miss 3 SEC Network+
29-Mar 7:30 PM ET North Alabama 3 Ole Miss 20 SEC Network+
1-Apr TBA Ole Miss 2 Kentucky 1 SEC Network+
2-Apr TBA Ole Miss 2 Kentucky 9 SEC Network+
3-Apr 1:00 PM ET Ole Miss 10 Kentucky 1 SEC Network+
5-Apr TBA Ole Miss 7 Southern Miss 10
8-Apr 7:30 PM ET Alabama 7 Ole Miss 4 SEC Network+
9-Apr 3:00 PM ET Alabama 12 Ole Miss 10 SEC Network+
10-Apr 3:00 PM ET Alabama 7 Ole Miss 3 SEC Network
12-Apr 12:00 PM ET Murray State 2 Ole Miss 8 SEC Network+
14-Apr 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss 9 South Carolina 1 SEC Network+
15-Apr 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss 2 South Carolina 4 SEC Network+
16-Apr 2:00 PM ET Ole Miss 8 South Carolina 9 SEC Network+
19-Apr 7:30 PM ET SE Missouri St Ole Miss SEC Network+
21-Apr 7:00 PM ET Mississippi St Ole Miss SEC Network
22-Apr 7:30 PM ET Mississippi St Ole Miss SEC Network+
23-Apr 4:30 PM ET Mississippi St Ole Miss ESPN2
26-Apr 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss Mississippi St SEC Network+
29-Apr 7:30 PM ET Ole Miss Arkansas SEC Network+
30-Apr 8:00 PM ET Ole Miss Arkansas ESPN2
1-May 2:00 PM ET Ole Miss Arkansas ESPN2
6-May 7:30 PM ET Missouri Ole Miss SEC Network+
7-May 5:00 PM ET Missouri Ole Miss SEC Network+
8-May 2:30 PM ET Missouri Ole Miss SEC Network+
11-May 7:00 PM ET Ole Miss Southern Miss
13-May 8:30 PM ET Ole Miss LSU ESPN2
14-May 3:00 PM ET Ole Miss LSU SEC Network
15-May 2:00 PM ET Ole Miss LSU SEC Network+
17-May TBA Ole Miss Arkansas State SEC Network+
19-May 7:30 PM ET Texas A&M Ole Miss SEC Network+
20-May 7:30 PM ET Texas A&M Ole Miss SEC Network+
21-May 2:30 PM ET Texas A&M Ole Miss SEC Network+
May 24-29 SEC Baseball Tournament
Jun 3-27 NCAA Division I Baseball Tournament

Mississippi State-Ole Miss Series Prediction

Mississippi State has won the last five series and seven of the last 10. The last three series in Oxford have resulted in sweeps: two by the Bulldogs in 2017 & 2019 and one by Ole Miss in 2015. State holds a 9-5 series lead in Oxford since 1993. Mississippi State rebounded with a series win over Auburn after getting swept by LSU.

Four of the last five times the Bulldogs were under .500 at the midway point, they rebounded with winning records in the second half of the conference schedule. After going 8-2 in SEC road series the last two seasons, MSU is 0-2 this season.

Ole Miss has struggled to a 5-10 mark, its worst record after 15 games since 1998 when it was also 5-10. The Rebels have dropped three of their last four conference series.

The Rebs have work to do to avoid losing three SEC home series for the first time since 2013. Ole Miss has been excellent in SEC home series going 26-10-1 over the last 8 seasons. (Source: SEC).

I think that, despite its struggles, Ole Miss has an edge playing at home. Both these teams have flopped so far this season.

Ole Miss 2 wins, Mississippi State 1 win

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