SEC Football Preview: Kentucky at Mississippi State

November 2, 2023 Kentucky Football, Mississippi State Football, SEC Football News
Kentucky-Mississippi State football preview
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Kentucky faces Mississippi State on Saturday in Starkville. 14Powers.com previews this SEC football game and predicts the final score.

Rowan Rehbein, 14Powers.com SEC Football

TEAM SCHEDULES/RESULTS

Kentucky
2-Sep vs. Ball State W 44 – 14
9-Sep vs. Eastern Kentucky W 28 – 17
16-Sep vs. Akron W 35 – 3
23-Sep at Vanderbilt W 45 – 28
30-Sep vs. Florida W 33 – 14
7-Oct at Georgia L 13 – 51
14-Oct vs. Missouri L 21 – 38
28-Oct vs. Tennessee L 27 – 33
4-Nov at Mississippi State
11-Nov vs. Alabama
18-Nov at South Carolina
25-Nov at Louisville

Mississippi State
2-Sep vs. Southeastern Louisiana W 48 – 7
9-Sep vs. Arizona W 31 – 24
16-Sep vs. LSU L 14 – 41
23-Sep at South Carolina L 30 – 37
30-Sep vs. Alabama L 17 – 40
7-Oct vs. Western Michigan W 41 – 28
21-Oct at Arkansas W 7 – 3
28-Oct at Auburn L 13 – 27
4-Nov vs. Kentucky
11-Nov at Texas A&M
18-Nov vs. Southern Miss
23-Nov vs. Ole Miss

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

Rating Kentucky Mississippi State
ESPN FPI 41 45
Sagarin 43 56
Massey Composite 50 64
PiRate Ratings 36 37

KEY STATS

Statistic Team National
Rank		 Conference
Rank		 Value
3rd Down Conversion Pct Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 74
121		 8
14		 0.395
0.309
3rd Down Conversion Pct Defense Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 54
104		 8
13		 0.368
0.441
4th Down Conversion Pct Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 75
129		 7
14		 0.471
0.167
4th Down Conversion Pct Defense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 83
83		 10
10		 0.556
0.556
Blocked Kicks Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 8
34		 2
6		 2
1
Blocked Kicks Allowed Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 1
103		 1
11		 0
2
Blocked Punts Mississippi St. 6 2 1
Blocked Punts Allowed Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 1
93		 1
12		 0
1
Completion Percentage Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 76
107		 12
13		 0.606
0.570
Defensive TDs Kentucky 3 1 3
Fewest Penalties Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 43
111		 3
12		 44
58
Fewest Penalties Per Game Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 44
113		 3
12		 5.50
7.25
Fewest Penalty Yards Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 53
103		 6
12		 393
500
Fewest Penalty Yards Per Game Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 55
105		 6
12		 49.12
62.50
First Downs Defense Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 47
78		 8
12		 150
163
First Downs Offense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 93
110		 9
13		 151
138
Fumbles Lost Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 26
26		 5
5		 3
3
Fumbles Recovered Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 60
60		 1
1		 4
4
Kickoff Return Defense Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 77
100		 8
10		 20.57
22.29
Kickoff Returns Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 16
22		 1
3		 24.67
24.07
Net Punting Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 66
107		 11
13		 39.29
36.50
Passes Had Intercepted Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 49
68		 9
12		 6
7
Passes Intercepted Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 49
69		 7
11		 7
6
Passing Offense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 80
101		 11
12		 218.6
197.8
Passing Yards Allowed Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 88
102		 10
12		 238.5
248.0
Passing Yards per Completion Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 38
79		 6
10		 13.05
11.55
Punt Return Defense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 27
89		 4
10		 4.00
9.75
Punt Returns Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 20
31		 4
5		 13.55
11.83
Red Zone Defense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 107
115		 11
13		 0.900
0.913
Red Zone Offense Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 89
102		 12
13		 0.800
0.786
Rushing Defense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 28
53		 6
9		 115.4
134.9
Rushing Offense Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 71
79		 6
9		 152.6
145.0
Sacks Allowed Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 32
56		 2
5		 1.50
1.88
Scoring Defense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 59
68		 10
11		 24.8
25.9
Scoring Offense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 48
84		 7
14		 30.8
25.1
Tackles for Loss Allowed Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 25
73		 3
7		 4.50
5.88
Team Passing Efficiency Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 59
69		 11
12		 136.05
133.09
Team Passing Efficiency Defense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 92
120		 9
14		 141.32
151.61
Team Sacks Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 39
52		 7
8		 2.50
2.25
Team Tackles for Loss Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 47
64		 6
9		 6.1
5.8
Time of Possession Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 97
111		 9
11		 28:36
27:58
Total Defense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 57
64		 9
11		 363.4
373.4
Total Offense Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 83
91		 10
11		 363.6
350.4
Turnover Margin Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 54
54		 8
8		 0.12
0.12
Turnovers Gained Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 68
78		 5
7		 11
10
Turnovers Lost Mississippi St.
Kentucky		 33
44		 7
11		 9
10
Winning Percentage Kentucky
Mississippi St.		 42
61		 7
10		 0.625
0.500

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Kentucky

QB Devin Leary, RB Ray Davis, WR Barion Brown, OL Kenneth Horsey, DT Deone Walker, DE JJ Weaver, LB Trevin Wallace, S Jordan Lovett, K Chance Poore, P Wilson Berry.

Mississippi State

QB Will Rogers, RB Jo’Quavious Marks, WR Justin Robinson, OL Cole Smith, DE Jaden Crumedy, LB Jett Johnson, LB Nathaniel Watson, DB Esaias Furdge, K Nick Barr-Mira.

INJURIES

Kentucky



Player		POS	Status

J. Geiger	DB	Ques Sat – Elbow

B. Christman	OL	out for season – Knee

J. Wilcox	RB	Out indefinitely – Hamstring

L. Wright	RB	Out indefinitely – Undisclosed

N. Hall	OL	out for season – Undisclosed

Mississippi State



Player		POS	Status

W. Rogers	QB	Ques Sat – Arm

J. Marks	RB	Ques Sat – Undisclosed

K. Dinkins	DL	Out indefinitely – Undisclosed

T. Williams	DL	out for season – Undisclosed

J. Albert	S	out for season – Knee

G. Spivey	TE	out for season – Eligibility

S. Traore	TE	Out indefinitely &##8211; Eligibility

Source: Covers.com

Kentucky vs. Mississippi State Football Series History

Series tied 25-25

COMMENTS

Kentucky looks like the clear favorite here but playing in Starkville, anything can happen when the cow bells are clanging.

PREDICTIONS

14Powers Preseason Prediction

Kentucky 18, Mississippi St 27

14Powers.com Gameweek Prediction

Kentucky 27, Mississippi State 21

Saturday‘s game kicks off at 7:30 PM ET. Watch this SEC football game on the SEC Network.

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