SEC Football Preview: Mississippi State at Auburn

Auburn and Mississippi State logos

Mississippi State football visits Auburn on Saturday. 14Powers.com previews this SEC football game and predicts the final score.

Rowan Rehbein, 14Powers.com SEC Football

TEAM SCHEDULES/RESULTS

Mississippi State

Date Opponent Score
2-Sep vs. Southeastern Louisiana W 48 – 7
9-Sep vs. Arizona W 31 – 24
16-Sep vs. LSU L 14 – 41
23-Sep at South Carolina L 30 – 37
30-Sep vs. Alabama L 17 – 40
7-Oct vs. Western Michigan W 41 – 28
21-Oct at Arkansas W 7 – 3
28-Oct at Auburn
4-Nov vs. Kentucky
11-Nov at Texas A&M
18-Nov vs. Southern Miss
23-Nov vs. Ole Miss

Auburn

Date Opponent Score
2-Sep vs. Massachusetts W 59 – 14
9-Sep at California W 14 – 10
16-Sep vs. Samford W 45 – 13
23-Sep at Texas A&M L 10 – 27
30-Sep vs. Georgia L 20 – 27
14-Oct at LSU L 18 – 48
21-Oct vs. Ole Miss L 21 – 28
28-Oct vs. Mississippi State
4-Nov at Vanderbilt
11-Nov at Arkansas
18-Nov vs. New Mexico State
25-Nov vs. Alabama

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

Rating Mississippi State Auburn
ESPN FPI 43 34
Sagarin 48 39
Massey Composite 53 59
PiRate Ratings 34 26

KEY STATS

Statistic Team National
Rank
Conference
Rank
Value
3rd Down Conversion Pct Mississippi St.
Auburn
112
114
13
14
0.329
0.326
3rd Down Conversion Pct Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.
49
54
7
8
0.360
0.369
4th Down Conversion Pct Auburn
Mississippi St.
76
79
6
8
0.467
0.462
4th Down Conversion Pct Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.
42
89
5
9
0.429
0.556
Blocked Kicks Mississippi St. 30 6 1
Blocked Kicks Allowed Auburn
Mississippi St.
1
1
1
1
0
0
Blocked Punts Mississippi St. 6 2 1
Blocked Punts Allowed Auburn
Mississippi St.
1
1
1
1
0
0
Completion Percentage Mississippi St.
Auburn
53
81
8
12
0.624
0.594
Defensive TDs Auburn 7 3 2
Fewest Penalties Mississippi St.
Auburn
27
38
2
3
36
39
Fewest Penalties Per Game Mississippi St.
Auburn
32
46
3
4
5.14
5.57
Fewest Penalty Yards Auburn
Mississippi St.
33
37
2
3
309
323
Fewest Penalty Yards Per Game Auburn
Mississippi St.
37
43
3
4
44.14
46.14
First Downs Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.
26
38
5
6
123
129
First Downs Offense Auburn
Mississippi St.
114
118
13
14
124
119
Fumbles Lost Mississippi St.
Auburn
32
65
5
10
3
4
Fumbles Recovered Auburn
Mississippi St.
46
46
1
1
4
4
Kickoff Return Defense Mississippi St.
Auburn
83
123
9
14
21.08
25.20
Kickoff Returns Mississippi St.
Auburn
16
18
1
3
25.00
24.94
Net Punting Auburn
Mississippi St.
45
65
9
11
40.26
39.27
Passes Had Intercepted Mississippi St.
Auburn
40
65
6
10
5
6
Passes Intercepted Auburn
Mississippi St.
12
56
1
11
9
6
Passing Offense Mississippi St.
Auburn
96
121
11
14
203.0
151.0
Passing Yards Allowed Auburn
Mississippi St.
49
86
7
10
214.0
239.7
Passing Yards per Completion Mississippi St.
Auburn
73
110
10
14
11.74
10.79
Punt Return Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.
69
93
7
11
7.71
10.33
Punt Returns Mississippi St.
Auburn
18
68
4
11
13.55
8.08
Red Zone Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.
42
123
1
13
0.783
0.952
Red Zone Offense Auburn
Mississippi St.
73
87
11
12
0.833
0.808
Rushing Defense Mississippi St.
Auburn
46
88
8
13
127.6
157.7
Rushing Offense Auburn
Mississippi St.
29
74
4
8
186.0
148.1
Sacks Allowed Mississippi St.
Auburn
79
106
8
11
2.14
2.86
Scoring Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.
57
70
10
11
23.9
25.7
Scoring Offense Mississippi St.
Auburn
76
78
11
12
26.9
26.7
Tackles for Loss Allowed Mississippi St.
Auburn
80
108
8
12
6.00
7.14
Team Passing Efficiency Mississippi St.
Auburn
56
102
10
14
139.16
119.93
Team Passing Efficiency Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.
67
116
5
14
131.08
147.17
Team Sacks Mississippi St.
Auburn
25
65
6
9
2.86
2.14
Team Tackles for Loss Mississippi St.
Auburn
58
71
8
9
6.0
5.7
Time of Possession Auburn
Mississippi St.
89
109
8
10
29:11
28:18
Total Defense Mississippi St.
Auburn
62
67
9
10
367.3
371.7
Total Offense Mississippi St.
Auburn
92
101
11
13
351.1
337.0
Turnover Margin Auburn
Mississippi St.
28
44
3
5
0.43
0.29
Turnovers Gained Auburn
Mississippi St.
23
62
1
7
13
10
Turnovers Lost Mississippi St.
Auburn
37
61
5
11
8
10
Winning Percentage Mississippi St.
Auburn
50
79
9
11
0.571
0.429

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Mississippi State

QB Will Rogers, RB Jo’Quavious Marks, WR Justin Robinson, OL Cole Smith, DE Jaden Crumedy, LB Jett Johnson, LB Nathaniel Watson, DB Esaias Furdge, K Nick Barr-Mira.

Auburn

QB Payton Thorne, RB Jarquez Hunter, OL Gunner Britton, WR Jyaire Shorter, DL Justin Rogers, LB Cam Riley, CB Nehemiah Pritchett, K Alex McPherson, P Oscar Chapman.

INJURIES

Mississippi State


Player POS Status
W. Rogers QB Ques Sat – Arm
K. Dinkins DL Out indefinitely – Undisclosed
T. Williams DL out for season – Undisclosed
J. Albert S out for season – Knee
G. Spivey TE out for season – Eligibility
S. Traore TE Out indefinitely – Eligibility

Auburn


Player POS Status
D. Alston RB Prob Sat – Shoulder
M. Nasili-Kite DL out for season – Bicep

Source: Covers.com

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Football Series History

Auburn leads 65-29-2

COMMENTS

This is a battle of two teams that badly need a win, especially an SEC win. Auburn is 0-4 in the conference and State is 1-3. If the Tigers prevail they’ll have a decent shot at earning a bowl bid. State head coach Zach Arnett could see his seat cool some with a victory.

PREDICTIONS

14Powers Preseason Prediction

Mississippi St 24, Auburn 31

14Powers.com Gameweek Prediction

Auburn 34, Mississippi State 31

Saturday‘s game kicks off at 3:30 PM ET. Watch this SEC football game on the SEC Network.

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