SEC Football Preview: Mississippi State at Auburn

October 26, 2023 Auburn Football, Mississippi State Football, SEC Football News
Auburn and Mississippi State logos
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Mississippi State football visits Auburn on Saturday. 14Powers.com previews this SEC football game and predicts the final score.

Rowan Rehbein, 14Powers.com SEC Football

TEAM SCHEDULES/RESULTS

Mississippi State

Date Opponent Score
2-Sep vs. Southeastern Louisiana W 48 – 7
9-Sep vs. Arizona W 31 – 24
16-Sep vs. LSU L 14 – 41
23-Sep at South Carolina L 30 – 37
30-Sep vs. Alabama L 17 – 40
7-Oct vs. Western Michigan W 41 – 28
21-Oct at Arkansas W 7 – 3
28-Oct at Auburn
4-Nov vs. Kentucky
11-Nov at Texas A&M
18-Nov vs. Southern Miss
23-Nov vs. Ole Miss

Auburn

Date Opponent Score
2-Sep vs. Massachusetts W 59 – 14
9-Sep at California W 14 – 10
16-Sep vs. Samford W 45 – 13
23-Sep at Texas A&M L 10 – 27
30-Sep vs. Georgia L 20 – 27
14-Oct at LSU L 18 – 48
21-Oct vs. Ole Miss L 21 – 28
28-Oct vs. Mississippi State
4-Nov at Vanderbilt
11-Nov at Arkansas
18-Nov vs. New Mexico State
25-Nov vs. Alabama

COLLEGE FOOTBALL RATINGS

Rating Mississippi State Auburn
ESPN FPI 43 34
Sagarin 48 39
Massey Composite 53 59
PiRate Ratings 34 26

KEY STATS

Statistic Team National
Rank		 Conference
Rank		 Value
3rd Down Conversion Pct Mississippi St.
Auburn		 112
114		 13
14		 0.329
0.326
3rd Down Conversion Pct Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 49
54		 7
8		 0.360
0.369
4th Down Conversion Pct Auburn
Mississippi St.		 76
79		 6
8		 0.467
0.462
4th Down Conversion Pct Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 42
89		 5
9		 0.429
0.556
Blocked Kicks Mississippi St. 30 6 1
Blocked Kicks Allowed Auburn
Mississippi St.		 1
1		 1
1		 0
0
Blocked Punts Mississippi St. 6 2 1
Blocked Punts Allowed Auburn
Mississippi St.		 1
1		 1
1		 0
0
Completion Percentage Mississippi St.
Auburn		 53
81		 8
12		 0.624
0.594
Defensive TDs Auburn 7 3 2
Fewest Penalties Mississippi St.
Auburn		 27
38		 2
3		 36
39
Fewest Penalties Per Game Mississippi St.
Auburn		 32
46		 3
4		 5.14
5.57
Fewest Penalty Yards Auburn
Mississippi St.		 33
37		 2
3		 309
323
Fewest Penalty Yards Per Game Auburn
Mississippi St.		 37
43		 3
4		 44.14
46.14
First Downs Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 26
38		 5
6		 123
129
First Downs Offense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 114
118		 13
14		 124
119
Fumbles Lost Mississippi St.
Auburn		 32
65		 5
10		 3
4
Fumbles Recovered Auburn
Mississippi St.		 46
46		 1
1		 4
4
Kickoff Return Defense Mississippi St.
Auburn		 83
123		 9
14		 21.08
25.20
Kickoff Returns Mississippi St.
Auburn		 16
18		 1
3		 25.00
24.94
Net Punting Auburn
Mississippi St.		 45
65		 9
11		 40.26
39.27
Passes Had Intercepted Mississippi St.
Auburn		 40
65		 6
10		 5
6
Passes Intercepted Auburn
Mississippi St.		 12
56		 1
11		 9
6
Passing Offense Mississippi St.
Auburn		 96
121		 11
14		 203.0
151.0
Passing Yards Allowed Auburn
Mississippi St.		 49
86		 7
10		 214.0
239.7
Passing Yards per Completion Mississippi St.
Auburn		 73
110		 10
14		 11.74
10.79
Punt Return Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 69
93		 7
11		 7.71
10.33
Punt Returns Mississippi St.
Auburn		 18
68		 4
11		 13.55
8.08
Red Zone Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 42
123		 1
13		 0.783
0.952
Red Zone Offense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 73
87		 11
12		 0.833
0.808
Rushing Defense Mississippi St.
Auburn		 46
88		 8
13		 127.6
157.7
Rushing Offense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 29
74		 4
8		 186.0
148.1
Sacks Allowed Mississippi St.
Auburn		 79
106		 8
11		 2.14
2.86
Scoring Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 57
70		 10
11		 23.9
25.7
Scoring Offense Mississippi St.
Auburn		 76
78		 11
12		 26.9
26.7
Tackles for Loss Allowed Mississippi St.
Auburn		 80
108		 8
12		 6.00
7.14
Team Passing Efficiency Mississippi St.
Auburn		 56
102		 10
14		 139.16
119.93
Team Passing Efficiency Defense Auburn
Mississippi St.		 67
116		 5
14		 131.08
147.17
Team Sacks Mississippi St.
Auburn		 25
65		 6
9		 2.86
2.14
Team Tackles for Loss Mississippi St.
Auburn		 58
71		 8
9		 6.0
5.7
Time of Possession Auburn
Mississippi St.		 89
109		 8
10		 29:11
28:18
Total Defense Mississippi St.
Auburn		 62
67		 9
10		 367.3
371.7
Total Offense Mississippi St.
Auburn		 92
101		 11
13		 351.1
337.0
Turnover Margin Auburn
Mississippi St.		 28
44		 3
5		 0.43
0.29
Turnovers Gained Auburn
Mississippi St.		 23
62		 1
7		 13
10
Turnovers Lost Mississippi St.
Auburn		 37
61		 5
11		 8
10
Winning Percentage Mississippi St.
Auburn		 50
79		 9
11		 0.571
0.429

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Mississippi State

QB Will Rogers, RB Jo’Quavious Marks, WR Justin Robinson, OL Cole Smith, DE Jaden Crumedy, LB Jett Johnson, LB Nathaniel Watson, DB Esaias Furdge, K Nick Barr-Mira.

Auburn

QB Payton Thorne, RB Jarquez Hunter, OL Gunner Britton, WR Jyaire Shorter, DL Justin Rogers, LB Cam Riley, CB Nehemiah Pritchett, K Alex McPherson, P Oscar Chapman.

INJURIES

Mississippi State



Player		POS	Status

W. Rogers	QB	Ques Sat – Arm

K. Dinkins	DL	Out indefinitely – Undisclosed

T. Williams	DL	out for season – Undisclosed

J. Albert	S	out for season – Knee

G. Spivey	TE	out for season – Eligibility

S. Traore	TE	Out indefinitely – Eligibility

Auburn



Player		POS	Status

D. Alston	RB	Prob Sat – Shoulder

M. Nasili-Kite	DL	out for season – Bicep

Source: Covers.com

Mississippi State vs. Auburn Football Series History

Auburn leads 65-29-2

COMMENTS

This is a battle of two teams that badly need a win, especially an SEC win. Auburn is 0-4 in the conference and State is 1-3. If the Tigers prevail they’ll have a decent shot at earning a bowl bid. State head coach Zach Arnett could see his seat cool some with a victory.

PREDICTIONS

14Powers Preseason Prediction

Mississippi St 24, Auburn 31

14Powers.com Gameweek Prediction

Auburn 34, Mississippi State 31

Saturday‘s game kicks off at 3:30 PM ET. Watch this SEC football game on the SEC Network.

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